Monday, February 8, 2010

If the season ended today: girls basketball - magic numbers

With the regular season wrapping up in the next seven days, let's take a look at how the division races are shaping up in the local girls basketball conferences.

At the bottom, I'll also take a stab at figuring out how the Section II brackets will unfold at the bottom of the post.

Big 10 Conference
(12 game regular season)
Catholic Central High School, 9-1
Albany High 9-1

These two teams split the season series and they've handled everyone else in the conference so far, so a shared title looks likely.
Remaining games:
Albany: Amsterdam, Schenectady
CCHS: Troy, Bishop Maginn

Suburban Council
(16 game regular season - home and home against division opponents, one game against opposite division)
North Division
Shenendehowa, 12-2
Shaker 10-4

Shen won both games in the series, and their magic number is one. Any combination of Shen wins or Shaker losses totaling one clinches the division for the Lady Plainsmen.

South Division
Averill Park, 14-0
South Colonie, 11-2

Averill Park has a magic number of one, putting the Warriors in the same boat as Shen. Any combination of AP wins and Colonie losses totaling two clinches the division for AP.

Colonial Council
(18 game regular season)
Holy Names, 16-0
Watervliet, 12-4
Lansingburgh, 10-6
Mechanicville, 10-6
Albany Academy for Girls, 9-7
Cohoes, 9-7
Voorheesville, 8-8

Holy Names clinched its second consecutive Colonial title last week. With two more wins, they can cap a second straight undefeated run through league play.
The race for second place, however, remains very interesting.

Wasaren League
(14 game regular season)
Greenwich, 11-1
Hoosic Valley, 10-2
Schuylerville, 8-4
Stillwater, 8-4

Greenwich has the inside track on Hoosic Valley, but the Witches' magic number is two. If they win out, they clinch, but Hoosic Valley still has a chance if the Witches stumble, but it looks like Greenwich has the easier road down the stretch.

Remaining games:
Greenwich: Tamarac, Stillwater
Hoosic Valley: Cambridge, Schuylerville

Patroon Conference
(18 game regular season)
Maple Hill, 16-0
Ichabod Crane, 13-3
Rensselaer, 10-6
Catskill, 9-6

Maple Hill clinched with a victory at Chatham Saturday afternoon, making this their fourth consecutive Patroon Conference regular season title. The Wildcats have won 62 consecutive games in the Patroon Conference.

Central Hudson Valley League
(16 game regular season)
Germantown, 13-1
Waterford-Halfmoon, 12-2
Heatly, 12-3

The Clippers have a magic number of two, meaning they need either two wins, a win and a Waterford loss or two Waterford losses to clinch the CHVL title. Waterford and Heatly aren't out of it, but Germantown hasn't faltered very often this season.

Let's make some guesses on how the brackets are going to pan out this year.

Class AA

Opening round
S1 Shenendehowa (bye)
B1 Catholic Central vs. S8 Columbia
B2 Albany High vs. S7 Guilderland
S2 Colonie vs. Troy High
S3 Shaker vs. B6 Schenectady
S4 Saratoga Springs vs. B5 Amsterdam
B3 Bishop Maginn vs. S6 Niskayuna
B4 Queensbury vs. S5 Bethlehem

B1 CCHS vs. S4 Saratoga
S2 Colonie vs. B3 Maginn
S1 Shen vs. S5 Bethlehem
B2 Albany vs. S3 Shaker

B1 CCHS vs. S2 Colonie
S1 Shen vs. S3 Shaker

S2 Colonie vs. S1 Shen

Class A

Play-in game
8 South Glens Falls vs. 9 Burnt Hills
7 Glens Falls vs. 10 Gloversville

1 Averill Park vs. 9 Burnt Hills
4 Mohonasen vs. 5 Ichabod Crane
2 Holy Names vs. 7 Glens Falls
3 Scotia-Glenville vs. 6 Lansingburgh

1 Averill Park vs. 4 Mohonasen
2 Holy Names vs. 3 Scotia-Glenville

1 Averill Park vs. 2 Holy Names

Class B

Opening round
1 Fonda vs. 16 Granville
2 Watervliet vs. 15 Broadalbin
3 Stillwater vs. 14 Ravena
4 Hudson vs. 13 Tamarac
5 Mechanicville vs. 12 Taconic Hills
6 Johnstown vs. 11 Emma Willard
7 Cohoes vs. 10 Greenville
8 Hudson Falls vs. 9 Schuylerville

1 Fonda vs. 9 Schuylerville
4 Hudson vs. 5 Mechanicville
2 Watervliet vs. 7 Cohoes
3 Stillwater vs. 6 Johnstown

1 Fonda vs. 5 Mechanicville
2 Watervliet vs. 3 Stillwater

1 Fonda vs. 2 Watervliet

Again, these are just some ideas to spark your imagination. Look for Class CC, C and D brackets coming sometime tomorrow.

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